How can we control the coronavirus pandemic? | Adam Kucharski - Lake Harding Association

How can we control the coronavirus pandemic? | Adam Kucharski

How can we control the coronavirus pandemic? | Adam Kucharski

By Micah Moen 100 Comments March 20, 2020


Transcriber: Ivana Korom
Reviewer: Krystian Aparta [How can we control
the coronavirus pandemic?] [From infectious disease expert
Adam Kucharski] [Question 1: What does containment mean
when it comes to outbreaks?] Containment is this idea
that you can focus your effort on control very much on the cases and their contacts. So you’re not causing disruption
to the wider population, you have a case that comes in,
you isolate them, you work out who they’ve come
into contact with, who’s potentially these
opportunities for exposure and then you can follow up those people, maybe quarantine them, to make sure
that no further transmission happens. So it’s a very focused, targeted method, and for SARS, it worked remarkably well. But I think for this infection, because some cases are going to be missed,
or undetected, you’ve really got to be capturing
a large chunk of people at risk. If a few slip through the net, potentially, you’re going
to get an outbreak. [Question 2: If containment
isn’t enough, what comes next?] In that respect, it would be about massive changes
in our social interactions. And so that would require, of the opportunities
that could spread the virus so these kind of close contacts, everybody in the population, on average, will be needing to reduce
those interactions potentially by two-thirds
to bring it under control. That might be through working from home, from changing lifestyle and kind of where you go
in crowded places and dinners. And of course, these measures,
things like school closures, and other things
that just attempt to reduce the social mixing of a population. [Question 3: What are the risks
that we need people to think about?] It’s not just whose hand you shake, it’s whose hand that person
goes on to shake. And I think we need to think
about these second-degree steps, that you might think you have low risk and you’re in a younger group, but you’re often going to be
a very short step away from someone who is going to get hit
very hard by this. And I think we really need
to be socially minded and think this could be quite dramatic
in terms of change of behavior, but it needs to be to reduce the impact
that we’re potentially facing. [Question 4: How far apart
should people stay from each other?] I think it’s hard to pin down exactly, but I think one thing to bear in mind
is that there’s not so much evidence that this is a kind of aerosol
and it goes really far — it’s reasonably short distances. I don’t think it’s the case that you’re sitting a few meters
away from someone and the virus is somehow
going to get across. It’s in closer interactions, and it’s why we’re seeing
so many transmission events occur in things like meals
and really tight-knit groups. Because if you imagine that’s where you can get
a virus out and onto surfaces and onto hands and onto faces, and it’s really situations like that
we’ve got to think more about. [Question 5: What kind
of protective measures should countries put in place?] I think that’s what people
are trying to piece together, first in terms of what works. It’s only really in the last
sort of few weeks we’ve got a sense that this thing
can be controllable with this extent of interventions, but of course, not all countries
can do what China have done, some of these measures incur a huge social, economic,
psychological burden on populations. And of course, there’s the time limit. In China, they’ve had them in
for six weeks, it’s tough to maintain that, so we need to think of these tradeoffs of all the things we can ask people to do, what’s going to have the most impact
on actually reducing the burden. [To learn more, visit: Centers
for Disease Control and Prevention] [World Health Organization]

100 Comments found

User

The Comedy Butchers

Herd Immunity. Most people are healthy enough to survive the virus, and the only way to protect immune compromised people is herd immunity

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User

Bearly Listening

By enforcing the borders, like we should have been doing all along.

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User

jesuswasahovercraft

We can't.

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User

Johannes1500

We can't.

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User

Marshall McLuhan

The living will envy the dead.

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User

I am puzzleman

Transmission not well understood.

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User

Иван Петров

Друг, чего я на тебя подписался, я же по немецки не шпрехаю, наверно случайно не ту кнопку нажал.

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I am puzzleman

Talk about the masks. Seems they sb worn.

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User

I am puzzleman

Worthless ted talk

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User

I am puzzleman

Again this ted talk lacked info and is disappointing

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I am puzzleman

Said nothing about masks. My neighbor could have done better job

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Loide Sirongo

A cousin of Ed Sheeran 😀

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s Jones

They couldn’t find someone experienced so they got a cute young guy 🤣he speaks the true though

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PeaceWithDefenseOnly

"… not so much evidence that this is some kind of aerosol that goes really far": recent studies show that these viruses when release in the air by human coughing can remain in the air for up to 3 hours and can indeed cause infections to others!

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Victor P.

His face is red from corona

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Erwin Hero

No. Everyone needs to take the burden. Quarantine at their home. Every day. Which counties can do this? Only those with citizens who are scared out of their minds, and care about themselves, their families, their community and their counties. It's linear.

So far, there is only one country that has done this, not through governmental mandated action, but through individual social responsibility. They are the model of hope the world has. Unfortunately, no other nation approaches their level of internal concern.

One person mentality = one nation controlled. However, by definition, one nation cannot curb a pandemic. If there were any time in humanity that the world had the necessary communication and technology to beat nature, it would be today. At the same time, it is the most divided we have ever been.

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Martin Svensson

Covid19-84. By not going along with the police state that is planned. The panic and peoples behavior is what will kill people. Not the virus itself. Regardsless if the virus is fake or real.

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John Rice

Why they dont connect ai to antivirus program to calculate all possible mutations and vactination preparing?

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Jimmy Kelly

What about the ones affected that have recovered. Would it not make sense to allow the recovered out into the public? Since they carry antibodies and aren’t infecting others wouldn’t it make sense to have them work and provide for those that are sick and keep the economy going? Why isn’t anyone talking about the fact that those affected 14 days ago are now immune and the count of all those infected is disingenuous. The media should be counting those with current infections and not those that have already healed! Running a tally of ALL infections is scaring the public and doesn’t reflect what’s really going on.

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User

Jack Jammen

By passing the MEDICARE FOR ALL BILL

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donominik

What China have done?
What did they do? They told the western media that they are controlling the virus. And you sir believe that lies?
Stay home every one

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Eduardo Blanco

Summary this guy as all of us doesn’t know anything at all.
In theory could work but, but reality is another story, “work from home” what a great idea, I believe billions would like to, but isn’t possible for all. Then the solution he is pointing is simple “don’t die because the virus, die of starvation” great advice 😑

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User

Jazmine

Watch movie contagion 2011

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NattyHygiene

Coughing and sneezing doesn't cause disease

T.C. Frys book "Life sciences health system"

Antoine Béchamps book "The Blood and Its Third Element"

and

Good-Bye Germ Theory: Ending a Century of Medical Fraud
book by William P. Trebing

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User

Nicolás Salazar

They just wanted to make an at home video. #perfectexcuse

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User

JÖYの貓

Can you talk about UK's herd immunity theory? What the eff is Boris thinking ?

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Sherry Dee

Let it run it's course. I'm a fatalist/realist. We need to weed out the weak & free up housing for others. Sorry folks, that's just the way I see it. I'm 67 & I'm not listening to any of you Millennial's who think we need to be smothered with self containment!

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User

MOTINHA

I ve afraid

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Kells Here

Wash your freakin hands!!!! It doesn’t take that much time get yourself antibacterial soap some warm water. Some who are using just hand sanitizer as a substitute is not the same as washing hands lol use both but seriously wash your hands don’t be gross

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User

STAY WOKE

Chinese need to stop eating bats and snakes for starters!!

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User

gregormann7

OMG! I just realized this virus is just like the common cold virus! Of which there are some 800 strains! And which are called, coincidentally, human coronavirus!! And you could potential catch this. OMG, we’re all gonna die!!!

And yet more people were murdered in Chicago last week than have died nationwide from this, um, cold virus. I don’t know. I’m confused. But I’m glad they’re shutting down the entire economy. Just in case. Yeah.

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Jimmy Kelly

We need a federal jobs grant for all employers. Since employers already have to employees on payroll you can guarantee funds to keep those at home paid so they won’t panic so much. Then after 2 wks after infection those that have recovered after 2 test (24hrs apart)get out of quarantine to go back to work. As the recovered get back our economy limps forward. Slow at first but at a steady clip as more and more people get better and return to normalcy. Am I wrong here? What are your guys thoughts?

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User

Natural Technologist

Reality is that everyone on Earth either is or shall be infected by this virus. As frequency researchers we utilize Spooky 2 technology which kills almost any virus, bacteria etc. and does so much more. It's also based on Rife technology invented in 1930's that cured cancer but was soon shut down by the government. Nicola Tesla discovered "Scalar Waves" and Albert Einstein discovered "Spooky Action At A Distance", both of which this tech. is also based on. *Do your own research.

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User

Edileuza Leu

Good

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User

Ei Demon

Mmm, nothing new.

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User

Adrian

0:32 "You work out who they f…"
Just say it man…

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User

Stefan Nikola

What a cutie. Nice accent, too.

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Ronin _ User

Control and virus in the same sentence is basically an oxymoron. How old are you?

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User

kilo kola

All they had to do was take it seriously from beginning, and quarantine everyone, (including flight crew) from China and Italy, for two weeks

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User

Izou Nokuda

This is an example of Pink and Gold combination

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Kathy Tong

Really hope the western world would treat it very seriously…and don't ever whatever China government says!! It's a evil liar!

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User

Тетяна Блажієвська

I understand that it's very serious topic and I feel really sorry for people, who have it. But the speaker has so great accent and he is handsome

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julian shepherd

1 comprehensive health care system properly funded not this austerity crap
2 end zero hours contracts so people can afford to self isolate
3 build enough council houses so we don't have homeless folk and overcrowding so they can self isolate
4 nationalise all private hospitals and run them on a need basis not a wealth basis
5 free broadband and a tablet for everyone over 70

End tax cuts for the rich, they are going to kill many ordinary folk.
It's called Class War and the rich are winning while we are dying.

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Outrunner68

Actually didn't learn anything at all there.

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whatfffd

Anyone learn something new?
No? Thought not.

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DownUnder

If everyone contrast this flue all at the same time, we can get over it and move forward !

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Rebecca Leeman

Even TED TALKS are staying home.

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User

LMAO0O0O0

You can't

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niki tpe

別擔心.你們的苦難才即將開始!
想一下. 一個月前 對想要自我保護的戴口罩者的霸凌….
Don't worry. Your suffering is about to begin!

Think about it. One month ago Bullying on mask wearers who want to protect themselves …

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User

Jo Bernard

Dave, The people who have a voice need to be saying this:

The Elites need the world to run from the COVID-19 in order to bankrupt the world and take control.

And whether that be true or not, we must accept the burden of this Cross as a species, embrace this Virus (albeit reluctantly), and keep our nations working and spending–fully and expectantly accepting that about 3.4% of us (mostly elderly) are going to die until worldwide immunity comes.

As we've continued to work despite the hundreds of thousands that die from the Flu, also we must learn to work and have success with or without COVID-19. 

China lead the way–brainwashing the rest of the world on how to respond, then Italy and other nations fell into the same demise–which is now leading the whole world to run in the face of the enemy instead of standing strong.

Stop working, and you will all become slaves. Take general precautions, but a productive economy must be sustained by work and spending by all who can. Accept Coronavirus and let some die, or run from it, and all will die in your inner spirits. This is our David and Goliath Moment.

I have very small voice, a cry in the wilderness, but perhaps you can get this message to those who can make the difference. Thank you, Jo Bernard

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User

Caleb Delatorre

If a theoretical quarantine were to happen, it should be for the minimum 2 weeks. Mobile hospitals with security forces would be possible for containment and control. Some sort of automatic clearance check would be necessary. Maybe even after 3 days into the quarantine. Without a quarantine would have to be by state, city and town. Cleared one by one. Over and over again. Also some sort of check mandatory for everyone with a pin for their lapel!

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Crazy prayingmantis

I say let nature run it's course, thin the herd

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Isaac Karjala

I think that the measures taken to slow the spread of the Spanish flu should be our baseline of response.

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Vakman CA

Control is an illusion

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Donovan

Make someone a Coronavirus Drink (vodka, orange juice, lime juice & honey). No salt on the rim, instead served in a martini glass with the glass stem covered in purell.

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lilac moon_03

I clicked on it because of the topic but tbh got distracted with him and his accent 🤷‍♀️

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Selene

I'm so sorry but I'm distracted by how cute he is 😳
(that's why I clicked 😱)

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Rahul Sharma

Every country need to devise their own plan

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grandradiomother

Wear mask, wash hand!!!

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Lizzylee Lewis

Look how they control Ebola….. why didn't China lockdown from the first breakout in China KMDT if it was a BLACK country watch what they would've done… am pissed and that my friend is the TRUTH.

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Red Markers

I know! We could pay people living wages and making housing affordable instead of destroying the economy and making things even worse than they alteady are because before things were already really bad! 🤣
Good luck folks!

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Igor Gabrielan

med.ai

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Daniel Baulig

This video is – at this point – comically outdated.

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guy

Was saying nothing such?

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Frightening Volleyball

Thanks, man! You were genuinely a great help. Only wish the best for you and everyone else on this horrifyingly beautiful world.

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Dakota Dain

He’s handsome

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Kev

This speaker… I swoon

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GroovyVideo2

USA /World needs to ask for Healthy volunteers to be Infected – Once these people recover they will be used to keep Your country Running – Provide Services – Keeps the economy Going – Millions will Volunteer – Doing this Gives More Control and Time –
In 3 weeks You have Healthy People Ready to Work – Volunteers should be from all walks of life / Jobs ect .
Im infected and have self quarantining for 12 days – I dont feel good at all but
I think Im going to be OK and my Knowledge and Skills are needed by OUR Countries – I am Volunteering –

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User

Andreas Helke

I is time that we get serious about getting rid of the virus intead of simply slowing the spread of it. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rM7VCaVWbNc

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Autisten Fischer

https://youtu.be/fa-A81uTycM
❤ stay at home ❤

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User

Elif Irmak Yelken

Can somebody translate it into Turkish please I don't understand anything🙏🏻

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NorthMan Martin

im reading a lot of article on internet about corona virus, im using duckduckgo as my SE cuz sometime google sensoring this , this is my opinion :

Its A Virus or Bacteria that spread on mid air or human interaction , a normal flu also spreading the same way as corona but corona is faster to infect your lungs and destroy it rather than normal flu were mostly got killed already by our immune system.

so corrona is faster to spread to our body and infect our lungs rather than normal flu but corrona virus died in 37 degree celcius temperature , that is include our body temperature or outside temperature , for example : if some infected touch a door but the door temperature increase to 37 degree , corrona immediatly died on that door , if you have a fever you might be lucky cuz the virus died inside of you and some people said one of the treatment for a patience is the doctor gave us an stimulan (idk what it is) to increase our body heat, but if it didnt work they'll find another scientific way.

corrona virus also can be killed by our immune system without we even knowing it , but it doesnt mean you will not sneeze, you will,but it wont kill you ( this is where the paradigma begin when the people trying to convice "its just a flu"), and again it is all back to your healthy condition.

if you not healthy enough you will endedup in hospital or even die because your lack of immune system from the start of the infection that cant even be support by an medical treatment stuff or its already too late.

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Uvedale Wood

Little known fact: Daily masturbation reduces the chances of catching Covid-19 by 43%.

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Christopher Gruenwald

It’s not a pandemic. The media is making it into one though. People aren’t dying from it that wouldn’t also die if they contracted the common cold. We don’t haunt the economy for the common cold or influenza. Why are we doing it now? We are only hurting middle class Americans with all these closures.

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Ben Verzijlbergen

Well that info would have been handy at the start of all of this. Kind of redundant now imo 🙁

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GHOST

Does this mean no more fucky sucky ???

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John Buffalo I am 97

This guy turned pink like a pig? 😅

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Youtube Freak

If you’re British, you don’t control it… You just let it run through the “herd”.

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Anubhav Chandrakar

For everyone wandering off why he did his TED Talk in a room rather than in front of crowd, he did so to avoid large gatherings which are major cause of spread of Corona Virus….

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Prathamesh Halade

Why am I not born an year late or early! Everyone is at their home trying to thing how to waste time and I am spending my whole day studying for my medical entrance! Need to continue this for next few months!

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The321flyer

Its a flu. You cant hide, its contagous.
Get it, get over it.
Dont take shots.
But most of all stay away from 5G
dont subscribe to it.
Its the truth behind this fake pendemic.
Wake up.

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ADAMS MITH KENNEDY

To keep fear in check: ANNUALLY

CDC estimates that influenza has resulted in between 9 million – 45 million illnesses, between 140,000 – 810,000 hospitalizations and between 12,000-61,000 deaths ANNUALLY since 2010.

I know it sucks, but THIS SAME THING HAPPENS EVERY YEAR FOLKS! LOVE YOU! BE SAFE

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Matej Hrušovský

how do i bring down 0 social interaction by two thirds?

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stefan stoss

prevention natural prevention consciousness of healthy habits big 3 media must do adult health ed

dr oz has the means to prevent if americans listen to advice shop at Whole foods and organic health food stores dont eat junk food cans and boxes ar enot food what kept our anscestors alive 28137 species of mediicnal plants in god s organic garden and home cooking use spices all spices are tasty medicinal

meat contains no vitamin C needed for immunity

youtube.com/watch?v=Y8e09BUquB8&t=3s

youtube.com/watch?v=Ncw3-ZvKEA8&t=88s

youtube.com/watch?v=WUbhx_Z0CDw

D sunshine vitamin D very good; my pitiful effort :

licorice [ root not candy] is effective antiviral 20 years ago it was recommended aginst SARS

vial of organic lemon oil along hallways of hospitals kills 97.7 % of germs in air ; effective aginst viruses : Knoblauch [ garlic] echinaecia e.g. Dr A Vogel elderberry [ hollunder sambucus nigra .salus.de/de/gesund-bleiben-magazin/heilpflanzen-ratgeber/holunder/ ] astragalus ( Huáng Qí ) [[[ recommended by Drweil.com founder of integrate dmedicien ]]] colloidal silver essential oil of wildmountain oregano

intelligent journalism has spoken with vitamin C foundation dr frederik Klenner protocol JAMA 1949 he et al cured any type of seriousinfection with high dose intravenous vitamin c meat contains no vitamin C and antioxident freeradical scavengers Hippocrates " food is medicine " he used 400 herbs

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Powerful U

This is great timely information for everyone Appreciate you sharing this.

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Bobbie Lec

By not listening to mister Trump comments!

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D J Koenig

We can't control; we can only hope slow to covid-19 so the hospitals aren't overrun & millions don't just die (without hope of getting any help) at home.

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Gary Hawkins

Ozone (O3) kills viruses on contact but nobody cares. Do me a favor, is this message even being seen?

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reem asraf

Control it? No this was meant to purge the weak and wittel down humanity

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Omar Flores

Wow those eyes

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User

回憶就是要美美的

if quarantine which means 0 social interaction doesn't work, why would reduction social interaction work??????????? I can't listen beyond 1:22.

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Joey Lee

so that is why every crowd clapping noise sounds the same as they are premade!?

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andy syntax

How to control fear. It's what everything should be titled, but we're too scared too…BWAHAHAHA!!!

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100th Monkey

Isolate the high risk group and allow the low risk group to live their lives, get even stronger by building immumity against future mutations and keep economy from crashing. You dont isolate everybody, its dumb. But thats theyre plan. 😬

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我是一隻姆姆

Hi guys , I make translate version (chinese subtitle) : https://youtu.be/lcNGWswt0hs

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Татьяна Байдовская

Ничего не понял, но мне понравилось:)

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surality

Walking with dog doo on a stick keeps people at a distance.

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Romany Awad

This covod 19 trouble the human

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Sameoldfitup

“We are the dead. Our only true life is in the future. We shall take part in it as handfuls of dust and splinters of bone. But how far away that future may be, there is no knowing.”
George Orwell,

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DD

Option One: Two months of extreme painful quarantine.
Option Two: What we have right now.

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